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On July 4, Fitch Ratings released a report stating that despite the temporary memorandum of understanding signed between the U.S. and Iran on June 17, both sides continue to engage in retaliatory military strikes. The agreement remains fragile and Israel is not involved, which keeps the situation in the Middle East a risk for global businesses. In its updated 'negative scenario' analysis, Fitch pointed out that even if the currently set extreme scenarios (such as a 10% drop in the stock market, a widening of corporate bond spreads by 100-200 basis points, tightening monetary policy, and a noticeable slowdown in the global economy) do not fully materialize, they can still serve as a reference in the event of escalating conflict. In this scenario, the economic growth rates of the U.S. and the Eurozone would significantly decline. Fitch assessed 72 industry sub-sectors across six global regions, with most risk assessments remaining unchanged, while a few were adjusted up or down. Overall, Fitch believes that the 'tail risks' of the Middle East conflict persist, and if the situation escalates again, it will continue to exert pressure on the global corporate credit environment and financial markets.

According to Odaily, Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X platform stating that Major County Sheriffs of America has recently shifted its stance to "neutral" on the Clarity Act after ongoing discussions regarding Section 604, namely part of the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act. In a letter to the leaders of the Senate Banking Committee, MCSA indicated that, based on its continued review of the act, there remains an opportunity to further strengthen this legislation in a way that supports responsible innovation as well as the practical needs of state and local law enforcement.

The previous day, U.S. employment data came in weaker than expected, weakening market bets on a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike and boosting market risk appetite before the weekend. The MSCI Latin American equities index rose 0.6%, while the regional currency index edged up 0.3%. Both are on track for modest gains in the first week of the third quarter. The currency index had already marked its sixth consecutive quarterly gain, the longest streak since 2009.