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22:04
CME FedWatch: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 29.9%. By September, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 37.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points hike is 48.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points hike is 14.1%. AI interpretation: The market's pricing is dominated by expectations of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in the short term, reflecting the stability of the current monetary policy trajectory. The divergence in rate expectations reveals the market's game over the balance between inflation and economic growth; this pricing structure directly limits the expected scope for policy shifts in the near term. Investors are adjusting asset allocations based on probability distributions to cope with the ongoing liquidity pressures caused by a high-rate environment. The data clearly demonstrates a strong market consensus for the Federal Reserve to maintain its tightening stance, reinforcing the policy narrative of rates staying high for an extended period.
21:58
Analyst: OpenAI may launch its IPO this year without waiting until 2027
```htmlGolden Ten Data reported on June 30 that options analyst Bob Lang stated that, as market conditions improve, investors' enthusiasm for AI assets rises, and the successful listing of SpaceX boosts market sentiment, OpenAI could potentially launch its IPO as early as this year, without needing to wait until 2027. He believes that the current capital market maintains strong demand for high-quality AI companies, presenting an opportunity for listing.```
21:56
Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) closed up 9.85% at $510.60, opening with a gap and then fluctuating at a high level, approaching the June 4 closing price of $513.20 and the March 11 closing price of $517.57.
According to media reports, before the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) purchased a batch of weapons from a certain exchange, U.S. President Trump bought shares in the company.
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