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⑴ Federal Reserve Chair Walsh sent a clear hawkish signal in his first press conference, emphasizing the price stability objective. The dot plot's 2026 median has been raised from rate cut expectations to the 3.4%–3.8% range, which is already above the current target rate level. More and more policymakers support further tightening. Walsh hinted that if inflation rises above expectations, rate hikes may resume before the end of the year. However, the US-Iran agreement has marginally reduced the tail risk of inflation, supporting the narrative of transitory inflation.⑵ The Bank of England kept the rate unchanged at 3.75% as expected, with a 7-2 vote. Megan Greene joined the Peel camp in supporting a 25 basis point hike. The overall signal remains patient. Market pricing is generally aligned with the central bank's stance, with roughly one rate hike priced in before the end of the year, but the actual result may range from no action to two hikes.⑶ The European Central Bank maintained its meeting-by-meeting decision guidance, providing no clear forward guidance, but post-meeting comments were slightly dovish. It was emphasized that unless energy prices rise significantly, the threshold for a July rate hike remains high. The latest forecasts still imply one additional rate hike. September remains the main focus, but inflationary pressures may ease in the autumn, and by then the central bank will have a clearer judgment on war-related growth risks. The scenario of a pause after one hike cannot be ruled out.⑷ The Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points to 1% as expected, reaffirming that further tightening will proceed at a gradual pace. Policy normalization remains slow and insufficient to offset the macro headwinds facing the yen in the short term. Real interest rates will stay deeply negative, continuing to suppress the yen and reinforce its role as a funding currency for carry trades. However, as USD/JPY approaches the 161.96 cycle high, intervention risk is rising and may slow the pace of further yen weakening.

According to Odaily, crypto prediction market platform Polymarket has been accused of paying dozens of creators, most of whom are university-aged, to film betting videos on pages closely resembling its own website, with some videos even showing fake profits. After reviewing 1,105 videos published by 10 creators since December, it was found that about 70% contained betting content, with approximately $1.9 million in showcased wagers not representing real transactions.  One video released in January shows college student George Makihara celebrating a $100,000 win for betting that Donald Trump would say "McDonald’s" that month, but the footage was reportedly shot two months earlier; Trump did not publicly say the word in January, and over 50 real accounts betting on the same event on Polymarket actually lost money. Some creators were filming transactions on test pages, including with the misspelled domain “poiymarket.com”, which were allegedly built or used by Polymarket for engineering testing environments.  In 118 videos, creators showcased nearly $900,000 in fictional profits, although these bets would have resulted in more than $166,000 in losses according to real outcomes. Each creator reportedly received a monthly payment of about $2,000 to $3,000, with instructions not to disclose the partnership; Polymarket stated it is committed to maintaining accurate, fair, and transparent markets, and plans to conduct a comprehensive audit of promotional content. (Decrypt)

BlockBeats News, June 22, according to on-chain investigator ZachXBT's monitoring, 3 hours ago, an address related to the HashFlare investment scam has moved 10,600 ETH on-chain after being dormant for about 3.5 years, with a value of approximately $18.5 million. Information indicates that HashFlare's two Estonian co-founders, Sergei Potapenko and Ivan Turõgin, pleaded guilty in 2025 and agreed to forfeit about $4.5 billion in assets to the U.S. government. Following this transfer, the entities involved started transferring the funds from Ethereum to the Bitcoin network through HiFiSwap and Near Intents, using two instant exchange platforms for fund circulation. This unusual fund movement was initially discovered with the assistance of Cyvers.