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Numerous Wall Street analysts predict that the Federal Reserve will cautiously make its "first cut"

Bitget2024/09/18 02:34

Many Wall Street analysts still expect the Federal Reserve's first step in cutting interest rates to be more cautious. "I hope they cut by 50 basis points, but I guess they will cut by 25 basis points," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "They have already accomplished their tasks of full employment and inflation return, and a fund rate of around 5.5% is too high. Therefore, I think they need to quickly normalize the interest rate, and there is plenty of room to do so." Tom Simons, an economist at Jefferies in America said: "Although tightening policies seem effective, they did not work exactly as imagined; therefore easing policies should also be considered uncertain." "So if you're unsure don't rush," former Dallas Fed President Kaplan said: "I guess their opinions differ." Seema Shah from Principal Global Investors stated that for the Fed it ultimately comes down to deciding which risk is greater - if it cuts rates by 50 basis points it could reignite inflationary pressures; if it only cuts by 25 basis points this could potentially lead to economic recession. Having been criticized for reacting too slowly to an inflation crisis, the Fed may take a passive response towards risks of economic recession rather than being proactive.(Jinshi)

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